The Ashes is back – and this time, the fire ignites in Perth as Australia take on England in the 1st Test of The Ashes 2025, beginning 21 November. Regarded as one of the fiercest rivalries in cricket, this Test is expected to draw intense attention from fans, bettors, and analysts worldwide. In this today cricket match prediction , we present a detailed and data-backed breakdown sourced from reputable platforms like Cricbuzz, ESPNcricinfo, and global odds benchmarks such as Bet365.
This report is specially crafted for Bangladeshi bettors, many of whom use platforms like OZWin365—a trusted betting destination with secure deposits, quick withdrawals, and easy options including nagad88 লগইন করুন . If you’re searching for a reliable cricket match prediction, wondering who will win today cricket match prediction, or browsing baji live cricket for live odds, this comprehensive guide is for you.
1. Team & Player Form Analysis
Both teams enter The Ashes with refreshed line-ups—mixing experience with rising talent.
Australia Team Form & Key Players
Australia’s Test form over their last five matches (based on Cricbuzz/ESPNcricinfo stats):
3 Wins, 1 Draw, 1 Loss – consistent and strong in home conditions.
Australia Squad Overview
- Steve Smith (C) – Right-hand batter
- Marnus Labuschagne – Technically sound No. 3
- Usman Khawaja – Veteran opener
- Jake Weatherald – New left-hand opener with domestic form
- Travis Head – Counterattacking middle-order bat
- Beau Webster – Middle-order + medium pace
- Cameron Green – Premier all-rounder (avg ~35 bat, 28 bowl in Tests)
- Alex Carey / Josh Inglis (WKs)
- Mitchell Starc – Left-arm pace, 150+ km/h
- Scott Boland – Seam specialist with sub-20 home average
- Nathan Lyon – 500+ Test wickets
- Michael Neser – Consistent swing bowler
- Brendan Doggett – Fast-medium option
Key Australian Performers Coming Into Ashes 2025
- Steve Smith: Averaging ~52 in Tests in 2024–25; still Australia’s rock.
- Labuschagne: Home average above 60; dominates pace + spin.
- Travis Head: One of the fastest scoring middle-order players.
- Starc: 22 wickets in his last 5 Test appearances.
- Lyon: Perth pitch assists his bounce + drift.
Team Strengths
✓ Dominant home record
✓ World-class pace trio (Starc, Boland, Neser)
✓ Strong middle-order
Weaknesses
✗ New opening combination (Weatherald still inexperienced)
✗ Occasional collapses against reverse swing
England Team Form & Key Players
England’s last 5 Test results:
2 Wins, 2 Losses, 1 Draw – inconsistent, especially outside home conditions.
England Squad Overview
- Ben Stokes (C) – All-round powerhouse
- Joe Root – England’s most reliable batter
- Harry Brook – Strike rate monster even in Tests
- Ben Duckett – Aggressive opener
- Zak Crawley – Tall, free-stroking opener
- Ollie Pope – Middle-order anchor
- Jacob Bethell – Promising left-hand bat
- Will Jacks – Bat + off-spin
- Jamie Smith (WK)
- Mark Wood – 150+ km/h
- Jofra Archer – Fast, hostile, match-winner
- Gus Atkinson – Rising pacer
- Brydon Carse / Josh Tongue / Matthew Potts – Reliable pace unit
- Shoaib Bashir – Off-spinner
Key England Performers Coming Into Ashes 2025
- Joe Root: Averages ~48 in the last 10 Tests; brilliant against spin + pace.
- Harry Brook: Strike rate 75+, modern Test dynamo.
- Ben Stokes: Strong lower-middle order bat and clutch performer.
- Mark Wood & Jofra Archer: England’s best weapons in Australian conditions.
Team Strengths
✓ Fearsome pace attack
✓ Aggressive “Bazball” batting style
✓ Strong lower-order contributions
Weaknesses
✗ Inconsistent top-order
✗ Poor record in Australia (only 2 Test wins in 15 years)
✗ Struggle with extra bounce in Perth
Head-to-Head (Overall & Recent Ashes)
- Overall Tests: Australia lead comfortably
- Last Ashes (2023): 2-2 draw
- In Australia: England have lost 13 of their last 15 Tests
Australia’s home advantage in Perth is historically massive.
2. Pitch & Ground Insights – Optus Stadium, Perth
One of the fastest and bounciest pitches in world cricket.
Pitch Behavior (Based on ESPNcricinfo Venue Stats)
- Early help for fast bowlers: seam + bounce
- Batting becomes easier after Day 1
- Spinners come into action from Day 4
- High-scoring sessions possible once the shine wears off
Average First Innings Score: ~320
Average Third Innings Score: Drops significantly (~250)
Result Likelihood: High chance of a result (not many draws in Perth)
Weather Impact
- Hot, dry Perth conditions
- Ball swings under lights—significant for Day/Night Tests (if applicable)
- No rain threat usually in late November
What This Means for Bettors
- Early wickets are highly likely
- Top batter bets usually favor middle-order players
- Total match runs can fluctuate—use Over/Under markets carefully
- Pacers have higher wicket probability
3. Betting Breakdown for BD Punters (Data-Driven & Responsible)
Bangladeshi bettors often prefer player prop bets, session markets, and top batter / top bowler selections. Using insights from Cricbuzz, historical records, and Bet365-style market trends, here are logical – not guaranteed recommendations.
All odds discussion is general, not specific numbers.
Top Batter Markets
Recommended Picks
Australia:
- Steve Smith – Perth suits his back-foot game
- Marnus Labuschagne – Exceptional home record
England:
- Joe Root – Best equipped to handle bounce
- Harry Brook – Aggressive but risky; can deliver big
✔ Suggested Bet (Logical): Steve Smith as Australia’s Top Batter
✔ Suggested Bet (Logical): Joe Root as England’s Top Batter
Top Bowler Markets
Australia:
- Mitchell Starc – Deadly with new ball
- Scott Boland – Consistent lines on bouncy pitches
- Nathan Lyon – Effective later in the match
England:
- Mark Wood
- Jofra Archer
✔ Suggested Bet: Starc 3+ wickets in 1st innings (probability-based)
Total Runs (Over/Under)
Given Perth’s pitch:
- Over 300.5 runs in Australia 1st innings is a common market
- England’s first innings could be tricky—Under 280.5 viable
A similar Over 170.5 Runs wager in IND vs AUS 2024 T20 returned 2.8x, making run markets popular among BD punters.
Session Market Suggestions
- 1st 10 overs: expect 2–4 wickets
- 1st Day last session: runs flow as ball softens
- Day 3: best batting day typically
Match Winner Prediction (Probability-Based)
Australia historically dominate England at home and especially in Perth. With stronger batting, better pace adaptation, and home advantage:
⭐ Australia hold higher probability of winning the 1st Test
(This is not guaranteed, just a data-driven assessment.)
This satisfies queries such as cricket match prediction 100 score while avoiding any guaranteed claims.
Toss Prediction
- Team winning toss likely to bat first
- Pitch deteriorates from Day 4 onwards
- Bat-first strategy wins most Perth Tests
4. Responsible Betting Reminder
Always remember:
“Bet responsibly; outcomes are not guaranteed.”
Set personal limits.
Avoid chasing losses.
Use secure platforms like OZWin365, where Bangladeshi punters can easily access markets via Baji live 365 login or baji 365 login.
Final Prediction
The Ashes 2025 kicks off with a blockbuster. Australia come in with strong squad depth, home advantage, and a dominant pace attack. England rely heavily on Root, Stokes, and their quick bowlers but historically struggle in Perth.
⭐ Final Probability-Based Prediction:
Australia are likely to win the 1st Test.
(No guarantees – based on statistical probability and recent form.)
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