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The stage is set for an electrifying clash as Pakistan take on Sri Lanka in the 1st ODI of the 2025 series at the Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium on November 11, 2025. Both teams are eager to start the series strong after mixed performances in recent months.
According to Cricbuzz, Pakistan enters this match with renewed confidence, led by Shaheen Afridi, while Sri Lanka, captained by Charith Asalanka, aims to prove their mettle in foreign conditions.
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Team and Player Form: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka AnalysisPakistan Squad Overview
Pakistan’s ODI unit looks balanced, combining experienced match-winners and promising young talents. Babar Azam, one of the world’s top ODI batters, continues to anchor the lineup, while Fakhar Zaman and Saim Ayub bring attacking flair at the top.
Recent form from domestic leagues shows Mohammad Rizwan in sublime touch, averaging 54.2 across his last five innings, while Shaheen Afridi has picked 12 wickets in his previous 5 ODIs at an economy rate of 4.7.
Key Players to Watch:
- Babar Azam – Known for his consistency in the 50-over format, Babar’s average against Sri Lanka stands at 63+.
- Shaheen Afridi (C) – His early breakthroughs can dictate the tone, especially with the new ball.
- Abrar Ahmed – The mystery spinner could trouble Sri Lanka’s middle order on a dry Pindi track.
In their last five ODIs (as per ESPNcricinfo stats), Pakistan have won three matches and lost two, indicating decent form but some vulnerability under pressure.
Sri Lanka Squad Overview
Led by Charith Asalanka, Sri Lanka brings a youthful side with genuine all-round strength. Pathum Nissanka and Kusal Mendis will be key to providing early stability, while Wanindu Hasaranga and Kamindu Mendis add depth both with bat and ball.
Dushmantha Chameera’s return to fitness gives Sri Lanka a much-needed pace boost.
Key Players to Watch:
- Wanindu Hasaranga – In his last 5 ODIs, he’s taken 10 wickets with an economy of just 4.9.
- Kusal Mendis (Wk) – Reliable behind the stumps and with the bat, he averages 45 in Asia.
- Charith Asalanka (C) – The skipper’s form (avg. 51 in recent matches) adds stability to the middle order.
Head-to-Head Record (Last 5 ODIs):
Pakistan lead 3–2. Historically, Pakistan dominates in home conditions, especially in Rawalpindi, where their win percentage exceeds 70%.
Pitch and Ground Insights: Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium
The Rawalpindi pitch has traditionally been batting-friendly in ODIs, producing several 300+ scores in recent years. However, it offers early movement for fast bowlers and some grip for spinners as the game progresses.
According to Bet365 pitch data, first innings averages at Rawalpindi hover around 285, but teams batting second have often chased successfully under lights due to dew.
Weather Report:
The forecast for November 11 shows clear skies with mild temperatures (22–25°C) — ideal for batting. Dew might play a part in the second innings, favoring the chasing side.
Venue Highlights:
- Average 1st innings score: 285
- Average 2nd innings score: 270
- Best bowling type: Pace early, spin later
- Toss impact: Teams winning the toss often choose to field
Hence, winning the toss could prove crucial, with a good chance for the chasing team to dominate.
Betting Breakdown: Odds, Predictions & Value Picks
1. Match Winner Prediction
Based on current form, Pakistan holds a slight advantage due to home conditions and bowling depth.
However, Sri Lanka’s all-rounders like Hasaranga and Kamindu Mendis provide balance and unpredictability.
Predicted Winner: Pakistan (55% chance)
(Note: For entertainment and analysis purposes only)
If you’re wondering who will win today cricket match prediction — Pakistan’s superior pace attack gives them the edge.
2. Top Batter Market
- Babar Azam (Pakistan) – Current form + home advantage make him a prime candidate.
- Pathum Nissanka (Sri Lanka) – In great touch recently; ideal for player prop bets.
Suggested Bet:
➡️ Over 35.5 runs – Babar Azam
➡️ Over 25.5 runs – Nissanka
Bangladeshi punters on baji live cricket often prefer these player prop bets, offering consistent returns compared to match outcomes.
3. Top Bowler Market
- Shaheen Afridi – Early wickets in powerplay are his specialty.
- Hasaranga – Could dominate the middle overs with spin and control.
Suggested Bet:
➡️ Top Pakistan bowler – Shaheen Afridi @ 3.2x
➡️ Top Sri Lanka bowler – Hasaranga @ 3.6x
Example: A similar over 170.5 runs bet on IND vs AUS earlier this season returned 2.8x profits, showing how data-backed insights often work for responsible bettors.
4. Over/Under Total Runs Market
Given Rawalpindi’s pitch conditions, expect high scoring.
Bet Recommendation:
- Over 285.5 first innings runs – especially if Pakistan bats first.
- Under 280.5 – if early swing helps pacers under lights.
BD punters frequently favor this runs market, as it balances risk with statistical predictability.
Responsible Betting Tips
Before diving into betting markets, remember the golden rule — bet responsibly; outcomes are not guaranteed. Cricket, especially ODIs, can change within overs due to weather, dew, or captaincy calls.
OZWin365 encourages smart betting behavior, limiting stakes and using data-driven decisions rather than emotions.
Disclaimer: “Bet responsibly; outcomes are not guaranteed.”
Avoid phrases like “cricket match prediction 100 sure,” as real-world sports outcomes depend on performance and conditions.
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Final Prediction & Conclusion
The Pakistan vs Sri Lanka 1st ODI promises a thrilling contest. Pakistan’s bowling firepower led by Shaheen Afridi, combined with Babar Azam’s batting mastery, gives them a clear advantage on home soil. However, Sri Lanka’s improving ODI form, particularly with all-rounders like Hasaranga and Kamindu Mendis, ensures a close battle.
Final Call:
- Toss Prediction: Team winning toss to field first
- Match Prediction: Pakistan to win by 25–40 runs or chase successfully
- Top Batter: Babar Azam
- Top Bowler: Shaheen Afridi
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