As the Pakistan vs Sri Lanka 3rd ODI gets underway at the Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium on November 15, 2025, fans are gearing up for a thrilling finale. With the series currently poised on a knife’s edge, this match carries massive significance for both sides — Pakistan aiming to seal a home win and Sri Lanka determined to end their tour on a high.
According to Cricbuzz and ESPNcricinfo, both teams have displayed mixed performances in the first two ODIs, with fluctuating top-order consistency and bowlers dominating during middle overs.
For bettors from Bangladesh, this is an ideal fixture to explore smart wagers and match outcomes via OZWin365 — a trusted betting platform offering secure payments, local gateways, and live odds. Let’s dive into our data-driven cricket match prediction for today’s clash.
🇵🇰 Pakistan Team & Player Form Analysis
Pakistan’s batting lineup in 2025 continues to be anchored by Babar Azam, who’s averaging above 58 in his last 10 ODIs, followed by the power-hitting Fakhar Zaman and rising talent Saim Ayub. In the middle order, Mohammad Rizwan and Faheem Ashraf have been instrumental in providing depth and flexibility.
Recent Form (Last 5 ODIs):
- Babar Azam: 326 runs at 81.5 average
- Fakhar Zaman: 210 runs with a strike rate of 92.4
- Mohammad Rizwan: 188 runs, 3 catches as wicketkeeper
- Shaheen Afridi: 10 wickets, economy rate 4.6
- Haris Rauf: 9 wickets, economy 5.1
The bowling attack remains Pakistan’s biggest strength — led by Shaheen Afridi, Naseem Shah, and Haris Rauf, all of whom have been lethal on home soil. The spin department with Abrar Ahmed and Mohammad Nawaz provides a solid balance on turning tracks.
Head-to-Head Record (Last 5 ODIs vs Sri Lanka):
- Pakistan won: 3
- Sri Lanka won: 2
Pakistan’s record at Rawalpindi has also been outstanding — winning 4 of their last 5 ODIs at this venue.
🇱🇰 Sri Lanka Team & Player Form Analysis
Under Charith Asalanka’s leadership, Sri Lanka’s young team has shown flashes of brilliance but lacked finishing consistency. The top order, comprising Pathum Nissanka, Kusal Mendis, and Kamindu Mendis, has provided solid starts but often failed to convert them into big totals.
Recent Form (Last 5 ODIs):
- Pathum Nissanka: 285 runs at 57.0 average
- Kusal Mendis: 245 runs, SR 88.6
- Wanindu Hasaranga: 7 wickets, economy 4.8
- Dushmantha Chameera: 8 wickets, average 26.3
- Maheesh Theekshana: 6 wickets on subcontinental tracks
Sri Lanka’s main challenge lies in countering Pakistan’s pace attack in the opening overs. If Asalanka and Nissanka can withstand that phase, the visitors have a strong chance to post 270+. Their spinners, especially Hasaranga and Theekshana, could be crucial in the middle overs as the Rawalpindi pitch tends to grip after 30 overs.
Pitch & Ground Insights: Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium
Rawalpindi’s pitch has historically been a balanced surface — offering initial swing for seamers and gradual assistance to spinners as the match progresses.
Venue Stats (Last 5 ODIs):
- Average 1st Innings Score: 276 runs
- Teams Batting First Win %: 60%
- Highest Team Total: 338/6 (Pakistan vs NZ, 2023)
- Best Bowling Figures: Shaheen Afridi – 5/30
The weather forecast for November 15 suggests clear skies with temperatures around 27°C — perfect for cricket. Dew may play a role in the second innings, giving slight advantage to the chasing team.
For bettors, the toss will be crucial — captains winning it might prefer bowling first under lights.
Betting Breakdown: Smart Bets for Bangladeshi Punters
Bangladeshi bettors, or BD punters, often favor player prop bets and over/under run lines — and this fixture offers plenty of value.
🔹 Recommended Bets:
- Top Batter (Pakistan):
- Babar Azam – consistent in home ODIs (Odds: 3.8x on Bet365)
- Top Batter (Sri Lanka):
- Pathum Nissanka – dependable against pace attacks (Odds: 4.5x)
- Top Bowler:
- Shaheen Afridi – record of 10 wickets in last 3 ODIs at Rawalpindi (Odds: 3.2x)
- Match Total Runs:
- Over 520.5 runs combined could yield a return of 2.6x, based on recent pitch data.
- Toss Winner Prediction:
- Teams winning the toss at Rawalpindi have a 60% success rate when chasing.
🧠 Example: A similar over 170.5 runs bet during IND vs AUS (2024) returned 2.8x, highlighting value in over-run markets.
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Who Will Win Today Cricket Match?
Based on data and form, Pakistan holds a slight edge with stronger pace depth and home advantage. However, Sri Lanka’s spin attack could cause trouble if the pitch turns dry.
Predicted Winner: 🇵🇰 Pakistan (60% confidence level)
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⚠️ Responsible Betting Note
While data-driven analysis increases prediction accuracy, remember — cricket is unpredictable.
“Bet responsibly; outcomes are not guaranteed.”
Never stake more than you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling ensures the fun and thrill stay intact.
Final Thoughts & OZWin365 Offer
The Pakistan vs Sri Lanka 3rd ODI promises an exciting contest between two competitive squads. Expect a mix of fiery pace, spin trickery, and high-stakes batting from both ends.
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